- bro sam scolded the congregation saying if u come spdlight 2 pass ur time, then dun bother... wah.. feels like some discipline head.. haiz
- the lady that sells yu pian mi fen treat me jared and eugene free drinks 2day..... ...... ........... wah..
- i nearly got knocked down by a car .. seems like i lost my sense of balance... n coordination.. wadeva i didnt even look in that direction... zzz
- err... ehh.. errrrr ... leet
Sunday, July 31, 2005
Saturday, July 23, 2005
Probability/chance
nooooo..... i lost my breastplate of valor to a warrior yesterday (in world of warcraft).. the guy not only won my valor , but he got spaulders of valor and 2 brilliant chromatic scales in that same run. In WoW, when a item drops, evry1 has a chance to roll (or pass on it), in which the computer will generate a random number 1 - 100, with the highest number among all winning the item.
So lets try to count the probability of that warrior taking all the loot happening.... figures from allakazam..
Probability of...
Finding a brillant chromatic scale off a Chromatic Whelp --> 0.299
Winning the roll against 15 people --> 0.299/ 15 = 0.001993
Finding another brillant chromatic scale off a Chromatic Whelp --> 0.299
Winning the roll against 15 people again- 0.299/ 15 = 0.001993
These 2 events happening in the same run/time --> 0.001993 * 0.001993 = 0.000003972
Finding Spaulders of valor --> 0.1353
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time --> 0.000003972 * 0.1353 = 0.0000005374
Finding Breastplate of valor --> 0.0656
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time and seeing valor drop --> 0.00000003525
Since there are 2 warriors on the raid, he will haf to roll against me, dropping the probability of him getting the valor chestpiece by 0.5
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time and winning valor BP against me
-----> 0.00000003525 * 0.5 = 0.00000001763
If i convert that probability, it basically means the probability of all that happening at the same time is
1 in 56,721,497 times
Ok i made a mistake im assuming there are only 2 whelps, which is wrong since there are about 20 killed per run, so i will haf to multiply the number i got by (20/2) = 10
which makes 1 in 5,672,150 times
So watch out when people say maaaybeee, they mean theres a chance/probabilty that it may happen, even if its 1 in 5 million , it can still happen. haiz to think i was still joking about about that happening 2 me n it happened..
haiz this is only a mmorg, if u think of how evrything that has happened in ur life n try 2 use probability in it, haha the number will be astronomical... by chance ???
So lets try to count the probability of that warrior taking all the loot happening.... figures from allakazam..
Probability of...
Finding a brillant chromatic scale off a Chromatic Whelp --> 0.299
Winning the roll against 15 people --> 0.299/ 15 = 0.001993
Finding another brillant chromatic scale off a Chromatic Whelp --> 0.299
Winning the roll against 15 people again- 0.299/ 15 = 0.001993
These 2 events happening in the same run/time --> 0.001993 * 0.001993 = 0.000003972
Finding Spaulders of valor --> 0.1353
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time --> 0.000003972 * 0.1353 = 0.0000005374
Finding Breastplate of valor --> 0.0656
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time and seeing valor drop --> 0.00000003525
Since there are 2 warriors on the raid, he will haf to roll against me, dropping the probability of him getting the valor chestpiece by 0.5
Finding Spaulders of valor and 2 scales AT the same run/time and winning valor BP against me
-----> 0.00000003525 * 0.5 = 0.00000001763
If i convert that probability, it basically means the probability of all that happening at the same time is
1 in 56,721,497 times
Ok i made a mistake im assuming there are only 2 whelps, which is wrong since there are about 20 killed per run, so i will haf to multiply the number i got by (20/2) = 10
which makes 1 in 5,672,150 times
So watch out when people say maaaybeee, they mean theres a chance/probabilty that it may happen, even if its 1 in 5 million , it can still happen. haiz to think i was still joking about about that happening 2 me n it happened..
haiz this is only a mmorg, if u think of how evrything that has happened in ur life n try 2 use probability in it, haha the number will be astronomical... by chance ???
Sunday, July 17, 2005
attempts to blog
Today is Youth challenge sunday... nv heard of this kind of thing in LE b4 , ate lunch den went for the 3 pm service wearing yellow, but its 1/4 wearing yellow maybe??? The message was good, n i went home after that...
Pastor Rony said smthing like: Its not how good we are, its whether we know Christ or not.... how true, but i cant help but tink of my blog title... haha . Of course my blog title is crap .. indeed what we can see and think is so finite..... we cant seem to see wads behind the scene ( or the bigger picture )...
zzzzz this is an attempt to blog so 2 show im alive yeah.... i got a problem??? y do i remember these things?? y do i care? xtra? bleah.....
6 days to saturday, 7 days to nxt sunday......
Pastor Rony said smthing like: Its not how good we are, its whether we know Christ or not.... how true, but i cant help but tink of my blog title... haha . Of course my blog title is crap .. indeed what we can see and think is so finite..... we cant seem to see wads behind the scene ( or the bigger picture )...
zzzzz this is an attempt to blog so 2 show im alive yeah.... i got a problem??? y do i remember these things?? y do i care? xtra? bleah.....
6 days to saturday, 7 days to nxt sunday......
Sunday, July 10, 2005
Its all good
celebrated the birthday of Isabel, Amelia and Flannery 2day ... ........ ................... i can't tink of anything else 2 write but its all good..... ok... yesterday was the outreach 2 evergreen circle, was pretty fun n the response was better than wat i expected (maybe i was too negative) , n there's this grandpa that went missing after the programme... n we actually haf 2 split up n look 4 him... it was kinda impossible 2 find if u ask me, u noe, how limited people are .. its like we can only do so much, but i noe some1 that can do much moreeee... couldn't find him in the end but thank God he went back home the next day =D (imagine how his son felt wif his 80+ yr old father touring around town the whole nite, its not funny at all...)
yeah its all good...
Created a acc in maple but that game is too boring 4 me... its the perfect cure 4 insomia. Playing X Hero Siege on lancraft instead... using the mountain king wif avatar 4 pure ownage... i can hit 10k damage wif my aura that absorbs 200% of attack dmg per hit meaning evry hit i do i get back 20k hp!! but im always lagging in kills cuz im this melee guy that got 2 run ard..
My blog is turning 1 yr old in 1 month 10 days!!!! i juz realised yesterday that my blog is 'borned' on the 18th!! like me, jon, wq, and 'maybe jeremy if i recalled correctly' !! that mean guy told us his bday last time but use some trick 2 make evry1 forget .... very good...
yeah its all good...
Created a acc in maple but that game is too boring 4 me... its the perfect cure 4 insomia. Playing X Hero Siege on lancraft instead... using the mountain king wif avatar 4 pure ownage... i can hit 10k damage wif my aura that absorbs 200% of attack dmg per hit meaning evry hit i do i get back 20k hp!! but im always lagging in kills cuz im this melee guy that got 2 run ard..
My blog is turning 1 yr old in 1 month 10 days!!!! i juz realised yesterday that my blog is 'borned' on the 18th!! like me, jon, wq, and 'maybe jeremy if i recalled correctly' !! that mean guy told us his bday last time but use some trick 2 make evry1 forget .... very good...
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